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纽约联储主席警告：中东冲突或导致通胀反弹并抑制增长

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摘要

纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在最新评估中对中东战事的经济影响表达了深度忧虑。他明确指出，地缘政治冲突的持续升级是全球经济面临的主要风险之一，特别是通过供应链中断和能源价格波动这两大渠道，将对各国的通胀治理构成严峻挑战。威廉姆斯警告称，如果战争导致关键运输航道受阻或油价长期维持高位，将抵消央行此前通过加息手段抑制通胀的努力。此外，战争带来的不确定性会削弱投资者信心，从而拖累全球经济增长速度。这一观点反映了美联储官员在制定货币政策时正日益关注外部安全冲击对宏观经济的潜在干扰，强调在当前脆弱的复苏环境下，维持地区局势稳定对于全球金融安全至关重要。

中文译文

纽约联储主席威廉姆斯对中东爆发的战争表示高度警惕。他警告称，战争导致的供应链中断和能源价格波动将进一步恶化通胀压力，并对全球经济的稳健增长构成重大威胁。在接受媒体采访时，威廉姆斯指出，尽管美国经济目前展现出韧性，但外部风险不容忽视。尤其是地缘政治因素引发的商品价格震荡，可能会迫使美联储在更长时间内维持较高利率水平。他强调，生产力是当前市场的核心驱动力，但战争带来的不确定性正在侵蚀这些积极因素。美联储将密切关注中东局势的演变，以评估其对美国国内物价稳定和就业最大化目标的潜在影响。

英文原文

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原文链接：https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/04/16/opening-bell-april-16-2026.html