绍伊古：若非俄防空失效，便是北约在发射无人机
俄罗斯联邦安全会议秘书谢尔盖·绍伊古表示，俄罗斯将对乌克兰的无人机袭击做出“自卫”反应。据塔斯社报道，莫斯科方面认为，这些无人机可能部署在芬兰和波罗的海国家的领土上。
此番言论发表之际，人们正担心针对爱沙尼亚的潜在行动。近期调查发现，有社交媒体账号在宣传“纳尔瓦人民共和国”的想法，这是一个旨在将爱沙尼亚东北部与俄罗斯接壤的部分地区分离出来的分裂项目。
绍伊古对无人机的来源提出了两种可能的解释：要么是俄罗斯的防空系统无效，要么是邻国的领空据称被用于袭击。他没有说明哪种情况更有可能，但此类言论可被视为威胁。
俄罗斯安全会议秘书强调，如果第二种情况属实，那么《联合国宪章》第 51 条将适用。该条款规定，在发生武装袭击时，各国拥有行使个人或集体自卫的固有权利。
2025 年，乌克兰、欧洲和北约领导人曾警告称，俄罗斯最早可能在 2027 年准备对欧洲发动袭击，波罗的海国家很可能是这一路径上的首个目标。
2025 年，俄罗斯对外情报局局长谢尔盖·纳雷什金指责北约在俄罗斯边境附近升级军事活动。他警告说，如果莫斯科与北约之间发生战争，波兰和波罗的海国家将首先遭受损失。
Either Russia’s air defense doesn’t work, or NATO is launching drones, says Russia’s Shoigu
Russian Security Council Secretary Sergey Shoigu has stated that Russia “will defend itself” in response to Ukrainian drone attacks. According to Moscow’s version, these drones may be based on the territory of Finland and the Baltic states, TASS reports.
This comes amid concerns over a potential operation against Estonia, as a recent investigation found social media accounts that promote the idea of a “Narva People’s Republic”, a separatist project aimed at detaching parts of northeastern Estonia bordering Russia.
He presented two possible interpretations of the drones’ origin: either Russia’s air defense is ineffective, or neighboring countries’ airspace is allegedly being used for the attacks.
Which of these variants is most likely? He did not tell. However, such statements could be regarded as a threat.
Reference to Article 51 of UN Charter
The Secretary of the Russian Security Council emphasized that if the second scenario is true, then Article 51 of the UN Charter applies, which enshrines the inherent right of states to individual or collective self-defense in the event of an armed attack.
In 2025, Ukrainian, European, and NATO leaders warned that Russia may be preparing for an attack on Europe as early as 2027. The Baltic States are likely to be the first target on this path.
“According to international law, Article 51 of the UN Charter on the inherent right of self-defense in case of armed attack comes into force,” Shoigu said.
In 2025, Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service Head Sergey Naryshkin accused NATO of escalating military activity near Russia’s borders. He warned that Poland and the Baltic states would be the first to suffer in the event of a war between Moscow and the Alliance.
He claimed that Poland and the Baltic countries are displaying particular aggressiveness. As an example, he cited Warsaw’s alleged plan to deploy around two million anti-tank mines along its borders with Belarus and Russia’s Kaliningrad Oblast.
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air defenseArticle 51Baltic statesdronesFinlandmainRussiaSelf-defenseShoiguTASSUN
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