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2026年4月17日
涉华 参考 Asia Times 2 分钟阅读

停火协议与变数:以色列与黎巴嫩达成临时停火引发中东局势波动

Asia Times 亚洲评论媒体,涉华与地区战略分析密集
停火协议与变数:以色列与黎巴嫩达成临时停火引发中东局势波动
摘要
美方宣布以色列与黎巴嫩已达成一项为期10天的停火协议。虽然此举在短期内缓解了中东地区的紧张态势,但协议的执行力与持久性仍存疑。对于全球安全观察而言,中东局势的降温可能使美军得以将更多侦察、打击和后勤资源从地中海及红海地区撤出,进而重新分配至亚太等更具战略优先级竞争的地区。这种战略重心的微调值得相关国家密切关注。
中文译文

2026年4月8日,以色列袭击贝鲁特后的景象。图片来源:维基共享资源

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在周四的一份社交媒体帖子中宣布,以色列和黎巴嫩政府已同意从周四晚间开始达成为期10天的停火协议。

总统还表示,他将邀请黎巴嫩总统约瑟夫·奥恩和以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡前往白宫,以建立两国之间更持久的停战状态。

数周以来,以色列一直在黎巴嫩进行无情的轰炸行动和地面入侵,已造成数千人伤亡,并导致超过100万人流离失所。

停火公告并不意味着已经实现了持久和平,因为该协议是黎巴嫩政府与以色列政府之间达成的,并不包括政治与武装组织黎巴嫩真主党。

伊利诺伊大学国际关系学教授尼古拉斯·格罗斯曼表示,以色列和黎巴嫩之间的停火是“一件值得吹嘘的怪事,因为黎巴嫩并不是战斗方”,而且“黎巴嫩政府也没有什么黎巴嫩方的炮火可以去停止”。

以色列i24News新闻网的外交记者阿米查伊·斯坦报道称,内塔尼亚胡内阁成员在一次会议期间感到“愤怒”,因为特朗普在“安全内阁批准之前”就宣布了“以色列同意停火”。

伊朗一直坚持将以色列和黎巴嫩之间的停火作为继续就结束与美国的战争进行谈判的前提条件。这场战争是特朗普于2月下旬在未经国会授权的情况下非法发动的。

“这不是自卫”

二十余名联合国专家周三发表了一份严厉的联合声明,谴责以色列对黎巴嫩持续不断的攻击是“对《联合国宪章》的公然违反,是对和平前景的蓄意破坏,是对多边主义和以联合国为基础的国际秩序的侮辱”。

“我们正目证着对国际法律秩序持续的极度蔑视……”

英文原文
收起原文

Aftermath of an Israeli attack on Beirut, April 8, 2026. Photo: Wikimedia Commons

US President Donald Trump announced in a Thursday social media post that the governments of Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a 10-day ceasefire that will begin on Thursday evening.

The president also said that he would be inviting Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to the White House to establish a more lasting truce between the two countries.

Israel has for weeks has been conducting a relentless bombing campaign and ground invasion in Lebanon that has killed and wounded thousands of people while displacing over 1 million.

The ceasefire announcement does not mean that lasting peace has been achieved, given that the deal was between the Israeli and Lebanese governments but not the political and militant group Hezbollah.

Nicholas Grossman, professor of international relations at the University of Illinois, said that a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon is “a weird thing to tout, since Lebanon isn’t a combatant” and “there is no Lebanese fire for the Lebanese government to cease.”

Amichai Stein, diplomatic correspondent for Israel’s i24News, reported that members of Netanyahu’s Cabinet were “outraged” during a meeting because Trump announced “Israel’s consent to a ceasefire before Security Cabinet approval.”

Iran has been insisting on a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon as a precondition for continuing negotiations about ending the war with the US, which Trump launched illegally in late February without any authorization from Congress.

‘This is not self-defense’

A group of two dozen United Nations experts issued a scathing joint statement on Wednesday condemning Israel’s ongoing assault on Lebanon as “a blatant violation of the UN Charter, a deliberate destruction of prospects for peace, and an affront to multilateralism and the UN-based international order.”

“We are witnessing the continuing utmost contempt for the international legal order, for diplomacy, and above all for the lives of civilians and the environment in Lebanon,” the experts said. “Israel has chosen the very moment a ceasefire was announced – one that its Pakistani mediator stated included Lebanon – to unleash the largest coordinated wave of strikes on the country since 1980.”

Despite signals in recent days that the Israeli and Lebanese governments were engaged in their highest level of diplomatic talks in decade, Israel’s military continues to ferociously bomb southern Lebanon, devastating entire towns – including homes and schools – and killing civilians. On Wednesday, according to Lebanese officials, Israeli forces killed three paramedics in a “triple-tap” airstrike on the town of Mayfadoun.

“This is not self-defense,” said the UN experts, including special rapporteur on the right to education Farida Shaheed, special rapporteur on the right to food Ben Saul, and special rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territories Francesca Albanese.

“The issuanc

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原文链接:https://asiatimes.com/2026/04/trump-says-israel-and-lebanon-have-agreed-to-10-day-ceasefire/